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Premium Leakage Cost Auto Insurers $15.9 Billion in 2008
Analysis by Analytics Expert Quality Planning Concludes Auto Insurers Could Stem Losses by Better Analysis and More Frequent Updates of Policyholder Information
| Source: Quality Planning Corp.
SAN FRANCISCO, CA--(Marketwire - January 20, 2010) - Quality Planning
(www.qualityplanning.com), a Verisk Analytics company that validates
policyholder information for auto insurers, has released its annual premium
rating error report. The report quantifies the errors and discrepancies
that result in auto insurers undercharging policyholders. For 2008, Quality
Planning estimates that the private passenger auto insurance industry
missed $15.9 billion in revenue simply because of policyholder
misinformation. In 2007, the company calculated $16.1 billion in missed
auto insurance premium revenues. Although the 2008 figure is down slightly
from the previous year, it is still almost 10 percent of the total $161.7
billion in personal auto premium written.
"The year 2008 saw a slight decrease in auto premium leakage over 2007.
Most of this decrease is accounted for by a reduction in miles driven,
which is attributable to the cumulative effects of a serious economic
recession and sky-high gasoline prices -- above $4.00 -- in the summer of
2008," said Dr. Raj Bhat, president of Quality Planning. "Premium leakage
happens. It's an undesirable, yet inevitable, aspect of auto underwriting.
What insurers should understand, though, is that getting on top of the
premium leakage problem is equivalent to reducing their combined ratio by
three to five points."
Mileage, both annual and commute, was the most misrepresented rating factor
again in 2008 and accounted for a loss of more than $3.0 billion in
premium. Two other factors -- unrated operators (household drivers not
declared on the policy) and driver characteristics and discounts (which
include inaccuracies such as driving experience, age, marital status,
student discounts, affinity group membership, and misrepresentation of
driver identity) -- accounted for $2.6 billion and $2.3 billion,
respectively.
Quality Planning recorded an upward trend in the misreporting of vehicle
garaging address and of youthful drivers. The trend was most striking in
large urban areas, where the actual location of where a vehicle is garaged
overnight can substantially affect premium cost. Nationwide, 1 to 2 percent
of all policies written include an unrated operator, who is most often a
high-premium younger driver. Rated properly, those policies account for
more than $2 billion of annual premium leakage.
The report, "Auto Insurance Industry Leaves Billions on the Table," can be
found online at the company's website, www.qualityplanning.com. The report
aggregates and summarizes audit results of more than four million policies
from multiple carriers, and draws from business written in all states
except Hawaii and Alaska. The sample includes substandard to preferred
books of business, all distribution channels, and national and regional
carriers (1). Sample results were weighted to reflect the total national
private passenger auto line.
The 2008 report includes a detailed analysis that distinguishes between
vehicle rating errors (mileage, usage, type of vehicle, and location) and
driver rating errors (driving experience and driving record) and shows how
different categories of rating error contribute to overall premium rating
error. Quality Planning urges auto insurers to improve their analysis of
policyholder-rating data to identify and correct flawed information --
steps that could have a positive effect on overall corporate profitability.
Rating Integrity and Competitive Advantage
Quality Planning helps auto insurers minimize rating error. The San
Francisco-based company processes auto insurance companies' books of
policyholders through a battery of more than 150 proprietary tests,
cross-reference checking, and pattern-matching algorithms to identify
errors and discrepancies that suggest customer fraud, neglect, or
misrepresentation. Quality Planning also provides insurers with additional
underwriting services to discover missing drivers, verify garaging
addresses, determine annual mileage, and access other key rating
information. Over time, insurance companies with accurate rating
information are more competitive and more profitable.
About Quality Planning
A Verisk Analytics company, Quality Planning is focused on providing rating
integrity solutions to auto and home insurers. Quality Planning works with
insurance companies to identify areas of significant rating errors using
sophisticated database management, statistical analysis and modeling,
customized survey design, and highly targeted customer interaction. Quality
Planning helps clients work within their existing rating plans and charge
fair prices to policyholders based on a true representation of risk. The
company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in San Francisco. For more
information, visit www.qualityplanning.com.
(1) The sample was limited to audits for which Quality Planning maintains
contractual rights to aggregate data for industry analysis.