Dublin, June 01, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The "Autonomous Driving Roadmaps Level 1-4 of 30 Major Carmakers by 2030" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.
The report examines the go-to-market strategy, technology & innovation, and market positioning of the world's Top-30 Carmaker Groups which includes more than 45 passenger car brands in Autonomous Driving.
Analysis unveils the fitment rates of different levels of vehicle automation (SAE Level 1-4) across the carlines of carmakers and their roadmap for 2030. This includes driving and parking features, sensors like radar, camera, HD maps, and the supply chain.
The report assesses the deployment and readiness of leading automakers in Automated Driving across Europe, the US, Japan, and China.
Learn about the status of autonomous driving in 2023 and the outlook for 2030 in the major car markets
- What is the availability of key ADAS features, such as AEB, TSR, ACC, LKA, TJA, in leading carmakers in Europe, the US and China? In-depth segmentation is provided by SAE Level of Automated Driving;
- What is the penetration rate of SAE Level 0-3 in European, U.S & Chinese car sales?
- Which OEMs lead L2-3 deployment and why? Which are the most prominent features?
- What are the emerging trends in sensor fitment strategies, architectures, and supply chains?
- What changes are coming in terms of the deployment of Lv.2 and L3-4 by 2025?
Understand the regulatory and engineering challenges carmakers face for the deployment of a higher level of vehicle autonomy
- What is the status of Autonomous Driving Regulation in major car markets?
- What are the differences in the legal and regulatory framework between Europe, the United States and China? How will these differences in policy affect Level 3-Level 5 deployment?
- Which geography presents the most favourable environment for deployment of Level 3?
- What breakthroughs are required in the area of SW/HW and validation for L3-4?
Read how carmakers, Tier-1s and new entrants, including tech giants Apple and Google (Waymo), plan to overcome the challenges and commercialize automated driving
- How do leading OEMs plan to achieve Level 4/5 capabilities? By when?
- Analysis of OEM strategy, new business models and key collaborations
- Learn why leading Tier-1s are well-positioned to monetize ADAS growth
Who will lead and who will follow in the autonomous vehicle race by 2030?
- Discover when leading carmakers will launch capabilities of L2, L3, and L4, segmented into Driving (L2-TJA vs L3-TJP) and Parking features (e.g. L2-Self Park, L4-Valet Parking)
- What are the trends by ADAS levels in Top Premium OEMs' model range during 2016-25?
- Learn about the penetration of different levels of autonomy in European car sales.
By 2025, "Connected Collaborative Driving" rather than automated driving will be prevalent
- ADAS Level 0 to Level 2+, which accounted for 99% of new car sales across the 4 major car markets in 2022 due to the regulatory block in Level 3, will hold circa 85% share of the Autonomous Driving market by 2025. This showcases the opportunity in driver assistance systems to be the predominant solution for this decade.
- ADAS revenues from the Top Automotive Suppliers of sensors such as radars, cameras, and ultrasonics, will increase with CAGR 12.6% between 2020 and 2025 to reach €35 Billion, incl. revenues from components, systems and env. model.
ADAS feature penetration is rising due to the fitment of ADAS sensors to meet safety regulations
- EuroNCAP requirements for 5-star safety rating, the General Safety Regulation 2 which came into effect in Europe in 2022 and brand competition push ADAS penetration in the EU car sales as part of optional or standard equipment.
- Vision-based fusion technologies will experience strong demand as the rating scheme evolves to incorporate ever more sophisticated functionality.
- Parking assistance, emergency braking,and lane assist systems are the most popular ADAS in the U.K, the NL, Belgium, & France (Bosch survey).
10 new ADAS features with high market potential and high technological maturity
Top new Autonomous Driving features include:
- "Level 4-Teleoperation" of autonomous vehicles, i.e. remote access for safety movements, e.g. Vay
- "Level 4-Autonomous Driver DNA" that reflects the brand's unique driving characteristics in the automated driving mode. This feature could enhance the driving experience for brands with sports and racing branding, such as Lotus, Alfa Romeo, Ferrari and more.
- "Level 4-Autonomous Guardian", for enhanced safety, e.g. tele-operation for safe maneuvers in city or highway scenarios;
- "Level 4-Self-charging autonomous electric cars". The Level 3/4 - capable vehicle navigates autonomously to the EV charging station in a private parking space or Lv.4-Valet Parking Garage.
- "Level 4-AVP (Autonomous Valet Parking) without V2X, Road-Side units or support from infrastructure"
- "Level 2-Acoustic Traffic Monitoring" uses Machine Listening to interpret road noise from pedestrians and other road users to support blind-spot monitoring.
- "Level 3-System take-over using Web3 applications". Already, some carmakers have filled patents for automated driving systems which could take-over control of the vehicle when the driver is unable to take-back control.
- "ADAS GenerativeAI applications" which can enhance self-learning capabilities and behavioural analysis. The ChatGPT frenzy expands to autonomous driving features to improve Level 2-4 functionality.
- Chinese startup Haomo.ai unveiled its DriveGPT, which applies Reinforced Learning with Human Feedback (RLHF) into the generative pre-trained transformer. The company, which is backed by Great Wall Motors and is a supplier of three carmakers including Wey, claims that by introducing data about situations in which human drivers take over, the model continuously optimizes autonomous vehicles' real-time decision-making ability on roads.
- In May 2023, Faraday Future unveiled its Generative AI stack for in-vehicle usage.
- There are promising new applications of the Metaverse in Mobility spanning across in-vehicle features for ADAS-HMI and entertainment
- Automated door-opening with sensors for object detection
Key Topics Covered:
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- Carmakers' Automated Driving Mix in 2022 vs. 2025 & 2030
- Level 2-Level 4 Autonomy Readiness Level of Carmakers
- Winners vs. laggards
- Top partnership in 2022 & Q1 2023
- Investment highlights in 2022-Q1 2023
1. THE STATUS OF AUTOMATED DRIVING DEPLOYMENT BY LEVEL IN 2023
- SAE Level 4 update:
- Level 4 Roadmaps by 2030
- Favourable regulations and policy in the U.S and Germany open opportunities for robotaxis
- New launches of Level 3 features: What, What, When, How
- Lidar fitment for Level 3-Autonomy: Overview of supply chain
- Democratization of ADAS accelerates to meet safety mandates but techno-economic deployment challenges of Level 3 still persist
- Regulation finally allowed Level 3 "conditional eyes-off the road'' in signatories of UNECE regulation N.79 after years of delays
- Germany's attempt to gain a competitive advantage was hindered by a slow regulatory update for Level 3 deployment
- Level 2 model availability in Europe between 2016 & 2023
- L2-D is expanding across carlines reaching the compact segment
- ADAS content is increasing to meet safety regulatory mandates and bridge the technological gap for higher levels of autonomy
- SAE Level 2 status in Europe 2023: TJA, SP & RP availability (%)
- L2-Driving feature status in Europe in 2023: e.g. Traffic Jam Assist availability
- Comparison of L2-D technology: speeds, lane change, hands-on detection, stop-in-lane, and naming strategy
- EuroNCAP's 2025 rating of Highway Assist / SAE Lv.2 features
- L2-P in Europe 2023 Self-Park & Remote Parking availability
- Level 2 penetration in European car sales in 2023
- Level 2 OEM ranking in 2017 vs 2023: leaders and followers
- SAE Level 1 in Europe 2023: ACC, AEB, PA, & LKA availability
- Level 0 penetration in Europe 2023: BSM, DDM, FCW, LDW & TSR
- Marketing names for ADAS L0/L1 features in Top-6 Premium OEMs
- Level 3 testing/pilots: who tests what and where
- The implications of Conditionally-automated driving on HMI
2. THE STATUS OF AUTOMATED DRIVING DEPLOYMENT BY LEVEL 0-4 BY 2030
- Read why regulation challenges Autonomous Driving deployment
- Overview of AD regulatory & legal status in key geographics
- The amendment of Reg.79 allowed L3 in UNECE from Jan 2021
- ADAS are assistive and hands-on the wheel is always required
- Reg.79 amendment is the critical step toward self-steering systems
- Three concerns arising from Reg.79's amendment
- Automated Lane-Keeping System (ALKS) Regulation for Lv3
- The USA has opened up the road to HAVs with guidelines
- State of AV testing in the United States
- Concerns over U.S policy on Automated Driving Systems
- L3 automated driving is legal in Germany from autumn'17
- The impact of AD regulation on L3 deployment
- Technical challenges for deployment affecting AD adoption
- Liability in L3 and the role of Event Data Recorders for AD
- Vehicle Cybersecurity becomes a priority for carmakers
- OEM and regulatory activity heats up in major car markets
- What regulatory/legal action is needed to secure Connected Cars?
3. OEM STRATEGIES & BUSINESS MODELS IN AUTOMATED DRIVING BY 2030
- Incremental vs skip approach to reach Highly-automated driving
- Build your own Automated Driving platform vs collaboration
- Consortiums for L3-5 platforms, AMoD, and HD maps
- Why ADAS Suppliers are well-positioned to monetize ADAS growth
- Digitalization unlocks personalisation & new mobility services
- Use cases and business models to commercialise L4/5
- Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS)
4. FROM ASSISTED TO AUTONOMOUS: L2-L4 ROADMAP FROM LEADING OEMS
- Overview of L2-L4 Driving & Parking roadmap by OEM at earliest implementation
- Automated Driving technology roadmap: ADAS feature & sensor set
- Aggregate sales forecast by L2-D to L4-Driving features in EU, USA, China 2013 & 2025
- Aggregate L2-D car & LV sales forecast in EU, USA & China 2013-25
- Learn which geographies will lead Level 3 deployment
- Aggregate Level 3-Driving equipped car sales forecast up to 2025
- Aggregate sales of cars & LV with L4-Driving features by 2025
- European AD forecast up to 2025: Driving vs Parking features
- European AD roadmap for driving features: L2-D to L4-D
- The impact of EuroNCAP's 2025 roadmap
- Market shares in Europe's car sales by level of automation 2015-25
- Partial automation (L2-D) forecast in Europe 2013-25
- Conditional automation (L3-D) forecast in Europe 2018-25
- L4-Driving forecast in European car sales 2018-25
- European AD roadmap for parking features up to '21: L2-P to L4-P
- Market shares of OEMs by Level of Automated Driving in Europe: L2-Driving, L3/4-D
- USA Autonomous Driving Forecast for Driving features up to 2025
- USA LV Sales & Penetration by L2-D to L4-D between 2013 & 2025
- USA forecast of Light Vehicle sales for L2-Driving features 2013-25
- USA forecast of Light Vehicle sales with L3-Driving features by 2025
- USA forecast of LV sales with L4-Driving features by 2025
- China Automated Driving Forecast: L2-D to L4-D 2013 to 2030
- Lidar forecast up to 2030 in passenger cars
5. CARMAKER ADAS & AUTOMATED DRIVING ROADMAP & OUTLOOK
- Audi
- BAIC Motors
- Bentley
- BMW
- Mini
- BYD
- CHANGAN
- Chery
- Mercedes-Benz
- Ford
- Geely
- General Motors: Cadillac and Chevy-Cruise
- Great Wall
- GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP (GAC)
- Honda
- Hyundai, KIA, and Genesis
- Jaguar Land Rover's AD outlook: feature roadmap & AD level mix
- Lucid
- NIO
- Porsche
- PSA
- Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance
- Nissan & Infiniti
- Renault
- SAIC
- Stellantis
- FCA: Focus on Alfa Romeo, Fiat, Maserati & Jeep
- PSA
- Subaru
- Tesla Motors
- Toyota Motors: Lexus and Toyota
- Volvo
- VW's strategy & model range by Level of Automated Driving
- XPeng
For more information about this report visit https://www.researchandmarkets.com/r/lb6ton
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